Lusitano Évora 1911 vs 1º Dezembro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+73%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
7º
8º
8º
10
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 7 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 6 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitano Évora 1911
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
ATL
5 - 1
ALE
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 2
PER
42%
27%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
1DE
3 - 1
ALE
36%
28%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
ALE
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
1º Dezembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
1DE
1 - 0
PER
36%
29%
35%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 0
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
1DE
3 - 1
ALE
36%
28%
37%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
PER
1 - 1
1DE
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 0
1DE
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |