Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 0-3
AE Real vs Remo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
ARO
1 - 1
REA
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
REA
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
REA
3 - 0
SAO
30%
23%
46%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
NAU
30%
23%
47%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
REA
1 - 2
GAS
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
REC
1 - 1
REM
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 4
REM
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FRA
2 - 0
REM
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
REM
1 - 2
TUN
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAY
2 - 0
REM
56%
21%
23%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |