AEA vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+218%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
TAN
1 - 0
AEA
38%
24%
38%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
AEA
1 - 0
BEB
22%
21%
57%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
AEA
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
AEA
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
AEA
3 - 1
TUP
26%
21%
52%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 0
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
25%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
COL
55%
21%
23%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAU
1 - 0
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAO
22%
25%
54%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |