Cup Paulista Last 16
Global 1-2
Ponte Preta B vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
66.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ponte Preta B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AAP
0 - 0
POR
11%
17%
71%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 2
AAP
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AAP
1 - 1
SAO
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
AAP
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
AAP
1 - 1
JUV
13%
19%
68%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
5 - 1
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AAP
1 - 1
SAO
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
AAP
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
2 - 1
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |