Manteigas vs Benfica Castelo Branco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manteigas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ADN
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
NAV
12%
21%
68%
|
19 | 60 | 41 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SER
4 - 1
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 46 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAR
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica Castelo Branco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 0
BEN
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 0
TOU
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
PAM
1 - 4
BEN
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +2 |