ASPTT Dijon vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+110%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
11º
10º
19
3º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
29 | 60 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
1º
|
32 | 53 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
19 | 42 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 42 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 41 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 24 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 23 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
53% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
14% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPTT Dijon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NEU
2 - 2
ASP
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 0
MON
42%
23%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
RAC
4 - 2
ASP
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 65 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
FCG
1 - 0
ASP
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 4
YZE
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TRO
6 - 0
YZE
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
IVR
1 - 2
TRO
26%
26%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 2
STG
43%
26%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 2
TRO
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
SML
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |