UD Aspe vs Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Aspe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ASP
3 - 0
ELD
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 0
ASP
54%
22%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ASP
6 - 0
UEC
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASP
1 - 1
CDC
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 0
ASP
10%
17%
74%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 2
UEC
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAF
76%
15%
10%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAF
2 - 2
ALG
36%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUS
3 - 1
RAF
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
RAF
0 - 1
ALB
15%
19%
67%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |