Torneo Regional Federal Amateur 1/16
Global 1-3
Deportiva Juventud vs Coronel Aguirre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deportiva Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ADJ
7 - 1
JAC
86%
10%
5%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ADJ
0 - 0
BHU
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AFR
0 - 0
ADJ
11%
16%
74%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JAC
0 - 7
ADJ
9%
15%
77%
|
32 | 5 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
BHU
0 - 0
ADJ
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Coronel Aguirre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
PSM
0 - 5
AGU
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
CSL
0 - 3
AGU
11%
17%
72%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 0
RMS
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
3 - 2
PSM
67%
20%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AGU
9 - 0
CSL
81%
12%
6%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | +1 |