Askollen FK vs Sarpsborg 08 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
42.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
13º
13º
34
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 62 |
1º
|
74% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
67.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
37% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 50 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
6º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 33 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 33 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 33 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 25 |
11º
|
63% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 23 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 16 |
13º
|
98% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
99.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Askollen FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
AFK
1 - 3
ODD
3%
8%
89%
|
21 | 70 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 2
AFK
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
ORN
4 - 0
AFK
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 0
AFK
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 3
AFK
87%
9%
5%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
0 - 0
IFL
46%
21%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
KFU
5 - 0
SAR
63%
18%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 3
NOR
24%
20%
56%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 1
OPP
36%
21%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SIK
2 - 0
SAR
54%
20%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |