Asker vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
59.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
BIR
0 - 4
ASK
19%
21%
59%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
ASK
5 - 1
TRA
77%
14%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
MOL
1 - 5
ASK
32%
23%
45%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 1
BAR
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ASK
2 - 1
STR
12%
17%
71%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +2 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2013 |
VIF
1 - 2
RBK
27%
24%
50%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2013 |
S08
3 - 3
VIF
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
VIF
2 - 0
TRO
34%
28%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
HAU
1 - 0
VIF
53%
22%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
VIF
1 - 2
HON
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |