St. Valentin vs Union Weißkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
53.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
16º
15º
52
2º
14º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PWD
0 - 1
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
UNP
51%
23%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
GRU
44%
24%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
UMA
3 - 1
ASV
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
3 - 1
UNI
27%
22%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Union Weißkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WEA
1 - 1
UMA
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 3
WEA
31%
21%
48%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
WEA
3 - 1
SVZ
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
OST
4 - 2
WEA
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SBL
2 - 2
WEA
7%
13%
80%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | -1 |