St. Valentin vs Oedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
68.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
6º
16º
15º
67
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 1
ASV
18%
20%
63%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
WEA
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PWD
0 - 1
ASV
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
UNP
51%
23%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 1
GRU
44%
24%
33%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
OED
2 - 0
UMA
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 6
OED
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
OED
4 - 0
SVZ
87%
9%
4%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
OST
1 - 2
OED
21%
19%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
OED
5 - 0
STM
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |