St. Valentin vs St. Marienkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAD
2 - 3
ASV
72%
15%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ASV
0 - 1
UNP
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
3 - 1
ASV
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
DON
2 - 3
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEU
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St. Marienkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
GRI
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
OED
4 - 0
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
GRU
26%
20%
54%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
UNI
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FCA
1 - 0
MAR
30%
21%
49%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |