Kohfidisch vs Rudersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
13º
13º
17
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 1
KLI
32%
23%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASK
53%
21%
27%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
PIN
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
ASK
60%
20%
20%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
10 - 2
HOR
22%
20%
57%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Rudersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USV
0 - 1
MAR
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 1
USV
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
USV
2 - 3
BAS
36%
22%
42%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
USV
1 - 1
PAR
12%
15%
73%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
5 - 0
USV
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |