Kohfidisch vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
13º
13º
17
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
ASK
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ASK
2 - 1
BAS
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 2
ASK
55%
21%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FUR
6 - 3
ASK
78%
14%
9%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
GNA
2 - 1
ASK
67%
18%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
KLI
0 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
PIN
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 0
MAR
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAR
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |