Kohfidisch vs Horitschon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
16º
12º
39
9º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
70% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
72.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kohfidisch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
4 - 0
ASK
24%
20%
56%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASK
3 - 4
PIN
27%
23%
51%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEI
5 - 2
ASK
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASK
1 - 1
PAR
8%
14%
79%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ASK
2 - 1
STM
37%
24%
39%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Horitschon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOR
2 - 1
GUS
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 2
HOR
12%
16%
72%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
3 - 0
DEU
31%
22%
47%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
USV
1 - 1
HOR
29%
21%
50%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 4
OBR
25%
20%
54%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |