Bruck/Leitha vs Austria Lustenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bruck/Leitha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
TEA
1 - 1
LEI
33%
23%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 0
RAP
30%
24%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 2
LEI
14%
17%
68%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LEI
2 - 0
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
LEI
27%
21%
52%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Austria Lustenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 3
SVL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FCB
1 - 0
SCA
26%
27%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 0
FCL
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
FAC
1 - 1
SCA
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SCA
2 - 0
LJU
67%
21%
13%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | +1 |