NK Bravo vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
8º
5º
6
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 61 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 60 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 59 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 41 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
10º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
8% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
31% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
56% | 17% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 26.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 56% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 3
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
FCK
35%
28%
38%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
BRA
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 3
ZRI
39%
27%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
4 - 0
NKP
63%
23%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 0
NKN
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 3
NKP
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKN
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
2 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
NKN
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |