NK Bravo vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
8º
4º
39
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 70 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
2º
|
39 | 67 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 26 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
5% | 25% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
9% | 37% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
43% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Bravo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NKP
1 - 0
BRA
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 2
CEL
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 0
KRK
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
DOM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
CEL
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
43%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SDM
0 - 4
MAR
3%
7%
90%
|
76 | 12 | 64 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NKN
0 - 3
MAR
19%
24%
58%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |