Ashton United vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 6
STO
19%
24%
58%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BLY
2 - 0
ASH
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 2
ALF
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 5
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -3 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 2
ASH
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
TRA
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
SOL
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BRA
2 - 2
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |