Ashton United vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
19.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
GRA
3 - 3
ASH
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
ASH
0 - 2
BLY
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STA
3 - 4
ASH
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASH
41%
26%
34%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ASH
0 - 0
MIC
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -3 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
COL
2 - 4
DAR
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2015 |
SAL
2 - 2
COL
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
COL
0 - 2
ILK
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
HYD
63%
20%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
HAL
1 - 0
COL
50%
24%
27%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |