FA Cup 1/128
Global 5-7
Ashford Town vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1994 |
NOR
0 - 1
FUL
36%
28%
35%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1994 |
FUL
1 - 3
CUM
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
CHE
1 - 1
FUL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1994 |
FUL
4 - 0
EXE
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
ROC
1 - 2
FUL
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |