Asheville City vs One Knoxville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asheville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
ASC
4 - 1
WFC
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
ASC
9 - 0
NAL
86%
10%
5%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ASC
2 - 0
TSC
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
DRW
1 - 2
ASC
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
One Knoxville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
OKS
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
OKS
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
OKS
2 - 2
RIC
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
OKS
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 0
OKS
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |