Asheville City vs Nona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asheville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 1
TSC
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TSC
2 - 2
ASC
23%
24%
53%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
ASC
4 - 0
ATU
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
EAT
0 - 3
ASC
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ASC
4 - 0
DOU
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Nona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
BSC
2 - 5
NFC
10%
15%
75%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
NFC
2 - 1
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BSC
1 - 4
NFC
10%
15%
74%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
NFC
2 - 1
IGK
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
NFC
3 - 0
BHF
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |