CAF Champions 1/16
Global 1-2
ASGNN vs Tonnerre FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASGNN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
POL
1 - 2
GNN
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
GNN
2 - 1
AFA
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
DKA
1 - 1
GNN
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
GNN
4 - 1
URA
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GNN
1 - 1
NIG
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tonnerre FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BUF
1 - 2
TON
49%
25%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TON
0 - 0
MOG
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JEU
0 - 0
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TON
0 - 2
ASO
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
TON
0 - 0
SFC
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |