Aserrí vs Turrialba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CSU
1 - 3
ASE
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ASE
2 - 1
JAC
48%
24%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ASE
5 - 2
SAN
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
ASE
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ESC
0 - 3
ASE
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Turrialba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 4
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 2
TUR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
ESC
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
EBC
2 - 2
TUR
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
TUR
20%
23%
58%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |