CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
ASEC Mimosas vs Monomotapa United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASEC Mimosas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
ASE
1 - 0
OUR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASE
44%
26%
31%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
SOA
0 - 0
ASE
50%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ASE
2 - 0
BIN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ASE
2 - 0
ETO
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monomotapa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BRO
4 - 1
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MON
2 - 1
AJA
12%
20%
68%
|
39 | 71 | 32 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
HWA
4 - 0
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
HIG
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AJA
3 - 2
MON
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | +1 |