Santa Maria Cilento vs Cittanova Interpiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
2 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 2
REN
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 1
CAV
26%
22%
51%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SMC
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 1
CIT
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova Interpiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BIA
0 - 1
CIT
36%
23%
42%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 4
LIC
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
FCF
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GIA
1 - 3
CIT
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
TRA
13%
21%
67%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | +2 |