Santa Maria Cilento vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 4
CIT
57%
21%
23%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
2 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 2
REN
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SMC
3 - 1
CAV
26%
22%
51%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SMC
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
USC
1 - 0
TRA
7%
18%
75%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
USC
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USC
2 - 2
ACI
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
2 - 0
USC
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
USC
0 - 0
CAV
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |