Santa Maria Cilento vs Canicattì analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
7º
18º
9º
45
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria Cilento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CIT
1 - 1
SMC
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 3
CSA
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
PAT
2 - 1
SMC
45%
23%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 2
LOC
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SMC
0 - 2
LAT
36%
23%
41%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Canicattì
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
RAA
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAN
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
ACI
23%
25%
52%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +3 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
RAG
1 - 1
CAN
27%
21%
52%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LAT
1 - 0
CAN
75%
14%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |