Vastogirardi vs Roma City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
17º
10º
37
13º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
VAS
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 0
TRA
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
UST
1 - 2
VAS
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 0
PIN
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TNF
0 - 3
VAS
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Roma City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RCF
1 - 2
MAT
29%
23%
49%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FAN
2 - 0
RCF
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RCF
2 - 1
TER
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ASD
5 - 2
RCF
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AVE
2 - 0
RCF
29%
23%
48%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |