Vastogirardi vs Fano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
41.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 2
NER
81%
13%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
POR
3 - 2
VAS
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
SFF
4 - 2
VAS
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 0
AAC
86%
10%
4%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
VAS
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
3 - 0
SFF
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
NER
0 - 2
FAN
15%
21%
65%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 3
REC
25%
28%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
TRA
3 - 1
FAN
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FAN
0 - 0
PIN
31%
28%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |