Vastese vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
ASD
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
MAT
21%
22%
58%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +3 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
OLY
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
ASD
51%
22%
28%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
ISE
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
JES
1 - 0
SAN
28%
23%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAV
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
61%
20%
20%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |