Vastese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JES
1 - 3
ASD
32%
23%
45%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASD
77%
15%
9%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
FRA
35%
24%
41%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
REC
3 - 1
MON
62%
19%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
0 - 0
REC
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
REC
2 - 0
PIN
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SAV
0 - 0
REC
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
ISE
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |