Vastese vs Olympia Agnonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
47.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 3
BEN
3%
8%
89%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
OLY
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 5
ASD
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
ASD
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
ALF
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olympia Agnonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
VIS
1 - 1
OLY
46%
26%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 3
OLY
53%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
OLY
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 0
CAM
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 1
VIS
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |