Vastese vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
REC
1 - 1
ASD
13%
18%
69%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ASD
4 - 0
CAM
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 4
ASD
13%
18%
70%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LAQ
3 - 0
JES
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 1
LAQ
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
LAQ
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
LAQ
2 - 0
REC
80%
15%
6%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |