Vastese vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ROM
0 - 1
ASD
28%
23%
50%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
5 - 1
PIN
56%
20%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIS
2 - 1
ASD
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAM
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
ASD
45%
23%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JES
2 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
15%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
JES
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
JES
3 - 2
CIV
30%
25%
45%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
JES
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
JES
0 - 0
OLY
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |