Vastese vs Fabriano Cerreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 0
ASD
48%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
21%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
USN
0 - 2
ASD
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 2
VIS
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
ASD
26%
23%
52%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FAB
0 - 2
JES
30%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
FAB
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |