Vastese vs Civitanovese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
SAN
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALF
0 - 0
ASD
18%
20%
63%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 1
ASD
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ASD
1 - 1
JES
67%
18%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Civitanovese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
CIV
2 - 1
CAS
54%
23%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
JES
3 - 2
CIV
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
1 - 0
ALF
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 0
CIV
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CIV
0 - 2
SAM
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |