Vastese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CES
4 - 1
ASD
81%
14%
5%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 1
GIU
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
ASD
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAM
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 3
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ISE
0 - 1
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
REC
28%
27%
46%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |