Vastese vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAQ
3 - 3
ASD
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 4
REC
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 0
ASD
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 2
FRA
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASD
40%
24%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 2
PIN
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
MAT
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PIN
0 - 0
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 0
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
REC
68%
20%
13%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |