Vastese vs Avezzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASD
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ASD
5 - 2
OLY
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
ASD
1 - 3
BEN
3%
8%
89%
|
30 | 70 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 1
OLY
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CIV
1 - 5
ASD
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
JES
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 2
FRA
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 1
PES
2%
6%
92%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAS
1 - 0
AVE
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 0
SSD
78%
14%
9%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |