Ugento vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2057%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
9º
17º
15º
28
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
15% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
56% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ugento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FBC
5 - 0
UGE
68%
19%
12%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
0 - 0
ACE
48%
21%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
FIA
3 - 0
UGE
69%
19%
12%
|
17 | 55 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 3
ISC
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FCF
2 - 0
UGE
76%
14%
10%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 1
MAT
43%
25%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
ACC
1 - 1
PAL
33%
26%
40%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
ASF
72%
16%
11%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 2
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PAL
3 - 3
MAR
41%
25%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |