Troina vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LIC
3 - 0
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
CCI
55%
22%
24%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ASD
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
BAR
10%
22%
69%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MDR
1 - 0
MES
30%
24%
47%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
MES
0 - 1
MAT
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 3
MES
38%
24%
38%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MES
1 - 2
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 0
MES
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |