Troina vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASD
82%
14%
4%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
ROC
59%
21%
21%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 1
ASD
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
CIT
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |