Troina vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 1
ASD
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
ASD
32%
22%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 3
FCI
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
ASD
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
USC
0 - 0
PAL
48%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
USC
45%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PIC
2 - 0
USC
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 0
USC
28%
21%
51%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
USC
1 - 0
CCI
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |