Terranuova Traiana vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
18º
16º
41
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
96% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
USP
2 - 3
ATT
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 2
SPO
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ASD
0 - 0
ATT
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
2 - 0
PIA
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +4 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OST
0 - 1
ATT
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ORV
4 - 1
GRO
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ACS
3 - 0
ORV
54%
23%
24%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
ORV
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ORV
1 - 1
GAV
19%
20%
62%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 1
ORV
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |