Terranuova Traiana vs Fezzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
10º
15º
12º
1
14º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 65 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 65 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 62 |
3º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 62 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 62 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 54 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 54 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 52 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 48 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 41 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
|
14º
|
2 | 39 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 38 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
17º
|
1 | 38 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
15º
|
13.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 30 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
18º
|
43% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
4.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 32% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
36.5% | 39% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 22.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Terranuova Traiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
ATT
52%
22%
25%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATT
0 - 0
GAV
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FUL
1 - 0
ATT
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 0
ATT
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 1
SER
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FEZ
1 - 2
LIV
20%
24%
56%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
USP
2 - 2
FEZ
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
FEZ
1 - 3
SER
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SPE
5 - 2
FEZ
85%
11%
4%
|
36 | 78 | 42 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CCA
5 - 1
FEZ
56%
23%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |