Team Nuova Florida vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Nuova Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
VIS
3 - 1
TNF
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TNF
1 - 0
GLA
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
OST
1 - 4
TNF
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
TNF
29%
23%
49%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
TNF
3 - 1
CAR
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
APR
0 - 3
SAS
29%
28%
43%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
APR
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
APR
1 - 1
SSC
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OST
2 - 0
APR
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
APR
3 - 1
SSC
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |