Tau Altopascio vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
58.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
9º
17º
11º
38
9º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tau Altopascio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
OST
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MPO
1 - 1
ASD
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
MON
40%
23%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
2 - 1
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
GRO
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 2
ACS
54%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OST
1 - 0
GRO
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GRO
1 - 0
ORV
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |